Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:06:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff9d…3a97
other · 9 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$177 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$178 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$178
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage39d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$214
14 days+$214
30 days+$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $60 $58 −$2 (-3%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+257%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $41 +$46 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$51 +251%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 +$161 +158%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $106 −$104 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $37 −$36 -98%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 11 $136 +$96 +70%
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? May 07 $26 +$114 +442%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $153 −$150 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% −$49
sports 32% +$225
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $61 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $87 13h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $71 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $41 24h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $263 39h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $15 41h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $37 41h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $40 41h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $102 41h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $51 2d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 58¢ $136 37d
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $26 38d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 24¢ $153 38d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+271.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +357.0% +313.5% 67% 67% +26.2%
≤30d 6 +357.0% +313.5% 67% 67% +26.2%
≤90d 8 +310.5% +271.4% 62% 62% +10.2%
all 8 +310.5% +271.4% 62% 62% +10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +271.4% 62% +10.2%
10% +235.9% 62% -0.4%
15% +203.4% 62% -10.0%
20% +173.7% 62% -18.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.66 · official $58.24 (match) · 16 history records