Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff8d…357f
crypto · 1083 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$83 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses598 / 485
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1083 / 1083
History coverage89d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 1083 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$32
14 days−$278
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$37
other 6% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 48m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 -6.1% -15.1% 49% 49% -13.4%
≤30d 814 -4.6% -13.7% 48% 48% -13.2%
≤90d 1083 -3.1% -12.3% 55% 44% -12.4%
all 1083 -3.1% -12.3% 55% 44% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 44% -12.4%
10% -20.7% 40% -20.8%
15% -28.3% 38% -28.4%
20% -35.4% 37% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2523 history records