Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T13:45:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
FF 0xff74…c052 crypto 139 markets active 2h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$9,978 (+5%) realized +$9,978 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +0% what you keep after slip
Net edge+0%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate100%139W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,338per market
Trades / day5.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$122
7 days+$489
14 days+$3,091
30 days+$6,191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$9,668
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)+8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +4.9% -5.1% 100% 12% -7.5%
≤30d 71 +8.0% -2.3% 100% 13% -4.3%
≤90d 139 +20.0% +8.6% 100% 9% -5.6%
all 139 +20.0% +8.6% 100% 9% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.6% 9% -5.6%
10% -1.8% 5% -14.6%
15% -11.3% 4% -22.9%
20% -20.0% 3% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 45% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +20% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$1,158) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +32% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$70 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9,978
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses139 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)139 / 139
History coverage56d
Avg bet$1,338
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 139 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 21 $354 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $2,912 +$27 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 21 $421 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $5,012 +$51 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $739 +$11 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $491 +$6 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 20 $520 +$8 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $642 +$13 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $384 +$8 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $225 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $740 +$7 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $414 +$205 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $3,538 +$51 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $369 +$39 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $4,881 +$49 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $409 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $346 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $647 +$35 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $393 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $392 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $355 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4,790 +$91 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $179 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $474 +$102 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $373 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4,763 +$61 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $789 +$2,169 +275%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $106 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $544 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $2,878 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $4,012 +$58 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $508 +$7 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $608 +$10 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 07 $287 +$10 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 07 $130 +$66 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 06 $636 +$76 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 04 $53 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 03 $128 +$12 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 03 $274 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 03 $393 +$45 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 02 $8,504 +$133 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 01 $669 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 30 $6,437 +$62 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 30 $1,223 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 30 $1,520 +$15 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 30 $897 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 29 $11,505 +$116 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 29 $1,051 +$10 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 28 $138 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $354 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,912 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $421 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5,012 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $739 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $491 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $520 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $642 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $384 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $225 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $740 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $414 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3,538 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $369 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4,881 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $409 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $346 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $647 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $393 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $392 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $355 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4,790 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $179 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $474 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $373 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $381 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 458 history records