trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 50% | 50% | +7.1% |
| ≤30d | 32 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 34% | 31% | -3.7% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 34% | 31% | -3.7% |
| all | 32 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 34% | 31% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.0% | 31% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -32.1% | 25% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -38.7% | 19% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -44.7% | 12% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 74¢ | 70¢ | $145 | $138 | −$7 (-5%) |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | England | 69¢ | 68¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $45 | +$15 | +33% |
| Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stag | Jun 26 | $292 | +$58 | +20% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$4 | -70% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $6 | +$3 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $3 | $0 | +13% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $3 | +$2 | +60% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $25 | +$11 | +45% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$6 | -55% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $4 | +$1 | +34% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $23 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $16 | +$8 | +49% |