trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -16.7% | -24.6% | 0% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 38% | 0% | -6.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 38% | 0% | -7.9% |
| all | 16 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 38% | 0% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 0% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | $446 | $451 | +$5 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$10 | -33% |
| Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5) | Jun 02 | $484 | +$41 | +8% |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | May 29 | $484 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | May 27 | $55 | −$2 | -3% |
| Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5) | May 26 | $480 | +$40 | +8% |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31? | May 25 | $482 | −$5 | -1% |
| Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5) | May 24 | $485 | +$25 | +5% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | May 23 | $485 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5) | May 22 | $488 | +$12 | +2% |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | May 21 | $484 | +$1 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | May 03 | $457 | $0 | -0% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 20 | $380 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5) | Apr 20 | $385 | +$20 | +5% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Apr 19 | $383 | $0 | +0% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7%? | Mar 31 | $204 | −$11 | -5% |