Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff32…8932
sports · 719 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$19 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized+$23
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses390 / 303
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions25
Markets (closed)693 / 719
History coverage260d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 25 History 693 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$14
14 days+$13
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No 53¢ 50¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-6%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 67¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 61¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 64¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 51¢ 59¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes 69¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026? Yes 62¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 16¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Switzerland to win the second half? Yes 69¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 86¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 3.5 Corners Under 81¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 56¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 34¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-49%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 38¢ 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-57%)
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $12 +$4 +32%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +82%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 $0 -7%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +140%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +67%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -54%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +23%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +57%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +48%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: China PR (-1.5) Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 +$1 +67%
Spread: Hungary (-2.5) Jun 10 $3 +$1 +40%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +17%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 09 $1 $0 +27%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $1 $0 +38%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 09 $1 $0 +44%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 +$1 +44%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 09 $2 +$1 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$7
other 35% +$35
world 4% −$12
politics 3% −$5
economics 1% −$3
culture 0% +$2
tech 0% −$2
crypto 0% $0
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $2 1h
Switzerland to win the second half? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 81¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 67¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $10 17h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 17h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 17h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Under 74¢ $1 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 74¢ $2 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 63¢ $3 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $3 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 76¢ $2 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 74¢ $2 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 65¢ $3 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 17h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ $2 20h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $2 23h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 70¢ $3 23h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Over 80¢ $1 23h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $2 23h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Over 80¢ $3 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 71¢ $2 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +0.2% -9.3% 62% 61% -3.8%
≤30d 171 -5.0% -14.0% 58% 57% -7.5%
≤90d 401 -7.5% -16.3% 58% 58% -6.3%
all 693 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 54% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 54% -8.2%
10% -22.8% 48% -16.9%
15% -30.3% 37% -25.0%
20% -37.1% 24% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.54 · official $52.54 (match) · 1494 history records