trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 14 | $77 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 12 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $1,480 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parli | Jun 12 | $1,392 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 11 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 11 | $1,417 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 11 | $1,455 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 11 | $1,431 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 10 | $1,433 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 10 | $1,449 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 10 | $1,438 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | Apr 20 | $7 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 16 | $7 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $216 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 05 | $157 | $0 | -0% |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | Apr 05 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 04 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $119 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Mar 30 | $73 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Mar 30 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | Mar 25 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 25 | $20 | $0 | -0% |