Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:35:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff20…d963
other · 402 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$38 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$75
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses149 / 196
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions57
Markets (closed)345 / 402
History coverage48d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 57 History 345 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$9
14 days+$0
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 34¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+68%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 60¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+55%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3 $4 +$1 (+49%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 20¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 17¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3 $2 −$1 (-36%)
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No 44¢ 80¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+81%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 25¢ 16¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 43¢ 77¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+79%)
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 23¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 45¢ 47¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 58¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 42¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 36¢ 36¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 29¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +262%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Will Goiás EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ceará SC vs. Avaí FC end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Recife vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 +$3 +250%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 10 $1 +$3 +304%
Will América FC vs. AC Goianiense end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Jun 10 $1 +$2 +157%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? Jun 10 $1 +$2 +178%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +101%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 +$4 +388%
Will Operário Ferroviário EC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +67%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $1 +$2 +204%
Will IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 04 $1 +$1 +114%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $1 +$1 +96%
Will O'Higgins FC vs. Everton de Viña del Mar end in a draw? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-05-31? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-31? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw? Jun 02 $1 +$2 +197%
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 +$2 +226%
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +73%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AD Tarma vs. Cusco FC end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Avaí FC vs. Criciúma EC end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sport Boys Association vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-05-29? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Limache win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% −$2
sports 33% +$29
crypto 6% +$5
world 1% +$3
economics 0% +$2
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 4m
Will AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 5m
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 5m
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 7m
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 1h
Will Londrina EC win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 1h
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 1h
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Vila Nova FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
Will Athletic Club vs. Goiás EC end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 1h
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 2h
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 3h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 47h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 47h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 47h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 47h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? SELL Yes 88¢ $4 3d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 3d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 3d
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 3d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 3d
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $1 4d
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 65¢ $1 4d
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 4d
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 4d
Will CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 4d
Will CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 4d
Will Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +47.2% +33.2% 50% 50% +33.5%
≤30d 244 +9.6% -0.9% 43% 43% +0.6%
≤90d 345 +6.5% -3.6% 43% 43% -0.4%
all 345 +6.5% -3.6% 43% 43% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.6% 43% -0.4%
10% -12.9% 43% -9.9%
15% -21.3% 43% -18.6%
20% -29.0% 39% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.41 · official $75.29 (match) · 776 history records