Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff1f…d6ed
other · 312 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$424 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$421 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized−$421
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses90 / 216
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)306 / 312
History coverage157d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit28%
Chart Positions 6 History 306 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Nets vs. Nuggets Nets 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-07? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC København win on 2026-01-20? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskies Northeastern Huskies 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-11? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-29? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-21? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $13 −$12 -98%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 14 $11 +$2 +16%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09? Apr 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09? Apr 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09? Apr 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? Mar 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17? Mar 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? Mar 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25? Feb 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25? Feb 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $10 +$43 +426%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20? Feb 20 $17 −$17 -100%
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $15 +$62 +412%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $10 +$20 +203%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $10 +$38 +376%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $81 +$40 +49%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $8 +$20 +257%
Celtics vs. Warriors Feb 17 $10 $0 -0%
Pistons vs. Knicks Feb 17 $10 $0 -5%
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17? Feb 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16? Feb 16 $4 +$23 +521%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15? Feb 15 $30 +$24 +82%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15? Feb 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14? Feb 15 $108 −$108 -100%
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15? Feb 15 $5 +$29 +575%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14? Feb 14 $19 +$10 +54%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? Feb 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13? Feb 13 $50 +$29 +59%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13? Feb 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% −$340
sports 19% −$73
world 1% −$10
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 5h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 25h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 33h
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $13 59d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 20¢ $13 59d
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 62d
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 63d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 64d
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 64d
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 64d
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 64d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 65d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 15¢ $6 66d
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 66d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 86d
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 87d
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $6 87d
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 107d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 107d
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 110d
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 33¢ $30 110d
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 110d
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 110d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 110d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 111d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 14 -91.7% -92.5% 7% 7% -88.7%
all 306 -7.9% -16.7% 29% 28% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 28% -22.9%
10% -24.7% 27% -30.3%
15% -32.0% 27% -37.0%
20% -38.6% 25% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.94 · official $72.94 (match) · 493 history records