Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff05…1afd
crypto · 1892 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$292 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses472 / 1299
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1771 / 1892
History coverage39d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1771 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$20
14 days−$123
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $2 +$4 +172%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +194%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
sports 0% +$3
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 11¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 89¢ $6 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 32¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 15h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -11.4% -19.9% 25% 25% -16.9%
≤30d 1471 +2.7% -7.1% 27% 27% -7.2%
≤90d 1771 -0.7% -10.1% 27% 27% -10.1%
all 1771 -0.7% -10.1% 27% 27% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 27% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 27% -18.7%
15% -26.6% 27% -26.6%
20% -33.8% 26% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.27 · official $5.27 (match) · 3500 history records