trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 84¢ | $324 | $336 | +$12 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $30,548 | +$2,575 | +8% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $976 | +$36 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $14,155 | +$1,001 | +7% |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $11,140 | +$1,648 | +15% |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $16,499 | +$1,533 | +9% |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $21,162 | +$4,492 | +21% |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | Nov 21 | $6,447 | +$406 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | Nov 18 | $25,149 | −$9,298 | -37% |
| Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | Jan 24 | $8 | −$5 | -60% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Jan 22 | $4,923 | +$7 | +0% |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1? | Jan 19 | $540 | −$30 | -6% |
| Was Trump hacked? | Jan 18 | $1,010 | −$16 | -2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31? | Jan 13 | $270 | +$18 | +7% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? | Jan 13 | $175 | −$175 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 14 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 64% | 14% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -17.7% | 14% | -8.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -25.6% | 0% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 0% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 0% | -32.2% |