Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:57:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfef5…2a42
other · 248 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$110 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses5 / 243
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)248 / 248
History coverage131d
Avg bet$191
Trades / day10.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$14
14 days−$26
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $220 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $236 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $242 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $93 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $205 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $84 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $255 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $206 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $242 −$1 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $231 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $41 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $194 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $201 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $174 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $747 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $195 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $267 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $92 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $279 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $160 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $248 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $282 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $355 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $291 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $192 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $491 −$1 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $333 −$1 -0%
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $27 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 07 $124 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $223 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $44 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $288 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $273 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $270 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $368 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $122 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $288 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $690 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $113 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $538 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $45 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $493 −$1 -0%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $120 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $373 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $574 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $444 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $225 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $110 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 02 $181 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $185 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$38
sports 24% −$23
politics 9% −$8
crypto 6% −$5
culture 6% −$5
economics 5% −$8
world 4% −$23
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $40 2h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $40 3h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $40 5h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $40 7h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $40 11h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $40 13h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $40 14h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $40 15h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $40 16h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $41 17h
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $41 20h
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $41 22h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $41 29h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $41 31h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $41 32h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $41 33h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $41 36h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $41 38h
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $41 42h
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $41 43h
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $41 46h
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $41 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $41 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $41 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $41 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $41 2d
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $41 2d
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $42 2d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $42 2d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $42 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 86 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 185 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 248 -0.3% -9.8% 2% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1421 history records