Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfee0…2f41
sports · 299 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$120 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses152 / 143
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions4
Markets (closed)295 / 299
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day222.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$121
14 days−$121
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 48¢ 100¢ $6 $13 +$7 (+109%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 46¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+86%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $15 −$1 -4%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$4 +344%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$26 +550%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $70 −$6 -8%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$2 +87%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +134%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $4 −$2 -57%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 +$1 +53%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +21%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$13
crypto 40% −$133
world 1% −$1
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 36¢ $1 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 37¢ $1 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 38¢ $1 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $1 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $1 58m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 44¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 44¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 44¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 22¢ $1 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 45¢ $0 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 48¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 48¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 48¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 48¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 48¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $1 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $1 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $0 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $1 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $0 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $0 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $0 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $3 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $0 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $3 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $1 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $0 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 295 +0.5% -9.1% 52% 42% -19.6%
≤30d 295 +0.5% -9.1% 52% 42% -19.6%
≤90d 295 +0.5% -9.1% 52% 42% -19.6%
all 295 +0.5% -9.1% 52% 42% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover222.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 42% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 36% -27.3%
15% -25.7% 31% -34.3%
20% -33.0% 24% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.91 · official $14.91 (match) · 937 history records