Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfedc…6398
politics · 9 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21,690 +89%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$787 · open −$977
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47,903
Realized+$787
Unrealized−$977
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1 / 9
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2,718
Trades / day1235.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 13 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$787
14 days+$787
30 days+$787
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7,529 $10,665 +$3,135 (+42%)
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11,803 $9,364 −$2,440 (-21%)
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $9,628 $7,746 −$1,882 (-20%)
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4,500 $4,649 +$149 (+3%)
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3,806 $4,044 +$238 (+6%)
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4,430 $3,832 −$599 (-14%)
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3,470 $3,718 +$248 (+7%)
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1,972 $2,000 +$29 (+1%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1,737 $1,882 +$145 (+8%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $1,024 +$787 +77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% −$997
politics 2% +$808
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 8m
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13m
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 14m
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 17m
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 20m
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 28m
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 51m
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $9 2h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 2h
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 2h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+60.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +76.9% +60.1% 100% 100% +60.1%
≤30d 1 +76.9% +60.1% 100% 100% +60.1%
≤90d 1 +76.9% +60.1% 100% 100% +60.1%
all 1 +76.9% +60.1% 100% 100% +60.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1235.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +60.1% 100% +60.1%
10% +44.7% 100% +44.7%
15% ← realistic here +30.8% 100% +30.8%
20% +17.9% 100% +17.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47,902.78 · official $47,902.77 (match) · 3500 history records