trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Atlanta Braves | 54¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 53¢ | 52¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 33¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Athletics | 63¢ | 62¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 52¢ | 52¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Arizona Diamondbacks | 51¢ | 50¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | St. Louis Cardinals | 50¢ | 50¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 48¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 48¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals | Houston Astros | 48¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 46¢ | 46¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 44¢ | 44¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Miami Marlins | 41¢ | 40¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 37¢ | 36¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Atlanta Braves | 50¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 49¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | San Diego Padres | 46¢ | 44¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals | 48¢ | 40¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Kings vs. Celtics | Kings | 20¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Heat | 43¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Magic | 22¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | Atlanta Braves | 49¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Heat | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Ducks | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 202 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Panthers | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Western Michigan | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Cavaliers | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Nets | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will India win? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Lakers | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Timberwolves | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Utah | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Warriors | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jaguars vs. Colts | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Capitals | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Lions | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Troy vs. Jacksonville State | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Flyers | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Hurricanes | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Canadiens | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Mavericks | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Raptors | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Rockets | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Penguins | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Devils | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Suns | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Heat | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Canadiens | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 177 | -54.7% | -59.0% | 21% | 21% | -59.1% |
| ≤30d | 386 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 43% | 43% | -16.0% |
| ≤90d | 989 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 50% | 46% | -10.2% |
| all | 1884 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 49% | 45% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 45% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 43% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 40% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 37% | -33.9% |