Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:01:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FE 0xfed7…e4d4 crypto 1138 markets active 3d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (426 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$122 (-2%) realized −$122 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate75%890W / 302L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day426.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (426 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 904 -9.9% -18.5% 74% 11% -15.7%
≤30d 1192 -10.2% -18.7% 75% 11% -14.8%
≤90d 1192 -10.2% -18.7% 75% 11% -14.8%
all 1192 -10.2% -18.7% 75% 11% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover426.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 11% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 5% -22.9%
15% -33.6% 4% -30.4%
20% -40.1% 3% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses890 / 302
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1192 / 1138
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day426.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1192 Trades
no open positions (231 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +444%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records