Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfed7…e405
sports · 608 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$159,369 -197%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159,316 · open −$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized−$159,316
Unrealized−$53
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses328 / 620
Whale WR (big bets)15%
Est. fees paid−$737
Open positions5
Markets (closed)948 / 608
History coverage49d
Avg bet$133
Trades / day62.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 5 History 948 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$153,820
7 days−$153,636
14 days−$153,907
30 days−$154,161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 54¢ 42¢ $54 $42 −$12 (-21%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 99¢ 99¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 16¢ 6¢ $9 $4 −$5 (-60%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 26¢ 4¢ $23 $3 −$20 (-86%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 41¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $412 $0 −$412 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-24? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15? No 71¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims) Johnson 62¢ 0¢ $1,860 $0 −$1,860 (-100%)
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $360 $0 −$360 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will CF Pachuca vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Argentina Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Wild 55¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $362 $0 −$362 (-100%)
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-10? No 33¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Heather Watson Watson 23¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $2,713 $0 −$2,713 (-100%)
Rio Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Nicolas Jarry Jarry 48¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $660 $0 −$660 (-100%)
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wong Borges 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Jun 13 $412 −$412 -100%
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-24? Jun 13 $240 −$240 -100%
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15? Jun 13 $142 −$142 -100%
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 13 $1,860 −$1,860 -100%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18? Jun 13 $360 −$360 -100%
Will CF Pachuca vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Argentina Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Thiago Seyboth Wil Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw? Jun 13 $362 −$362 -100%
Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Heather Watson Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10? Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18? Jun 13 $2,713 −$2,713 -100%
Rio Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Nicolas Jarry Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $660 −$660 -100%
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wong Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmark Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Lloyd Harris vs Federico Cina Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-08? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-25? Jun 13 $1,920 −$1,920 -100%
SNHL: Ambri-Piotta vs. ZSC Lions Jun 13 $1,230 −$1,230 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Jun 13 $122 −$122 -100%
Women's Group B - Japan vs. Italy Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-14? Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12? Jun 13 $190 −$190 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25? Jun 13 $1,170 −$1,170 -100%
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-28? Jun 13 $600 −$600 -100%
Hobart International: Tatjana Maria vs Venus Williams Jun 13 $1,150 −$1,150 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $332 −$332 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? Jun 13 $720 −$720 -100%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-15? Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros Jun 13 $276 −$276 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24? Jun 13 $1,099 −$1,099 -100%
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25? Jun 13 $271 −$271 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets Jun 13 $296 −$296 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14? Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-06? Jun 13 $780 −$780 -100%
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? Jun 13 $216 −$216 -100%
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Bai Jun 13 $420 −$420 -100%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-10? Jun 13 $140 −$140 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 13 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 13 $2,400 −$2,400 -100%
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will PSV win on 2026-02-01? Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 13 $347 −$347 -100%
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw? Jun 13 $287 −$287 -100%
Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Seoul Thunders vs. Seoul Knights Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? Jun 13 $270 −$270 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$5,942
other 4% +$407
world 0% −$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $10 0m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $10 4m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $10 5m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 28¢ $9 57m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 27¢ $8 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 22¢ $7 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 12¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 17¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 18¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 18¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 17¢ $2 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 21¢ $6 16h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 20¢ $6 17h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 15¢ $1 20h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 36¢ $11 20h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 32¢ $10 20h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 36¢ $11 20h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 35¢ $11 20h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 28¢ $9 20h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 20¢ $5 43h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 24¢ $7 44h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 33¢ $7 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Houston Astros 14¢ $3 2d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 33¢ $7 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 17¢ $3 2d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 35¢ $7 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 28¢ $2 2d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 33¢ $7 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 27¢ $6 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 37¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-45.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 404 -85.1% -86.6% 3% 3% -99.7%
≤30d 755 -47.7% -52.7% 29% 24% -83.4%
≤90d 948 -39.5% -45.3% 35% 29% -71.1%
all 948 -39.5% -45.3% 35% 29% -71.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.3% 29% -71.1%
10% ← realistic here -50.5% 22% -73.8%
15% -55.3% 16% -76.4%
20% -59.7% 12% -78.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.88 · official $78.88 (match) · 3500 history records