trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 56% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | +6.6% | -3.5% | 57% | 5% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.5% | 5% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -12.8% | 5% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -21.2% | 5% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -28.9% | 5% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 95¢ | $352 | $667 | +$315 (+89%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 88¢ | 77¢ | $93 | $82 | −$12 (-13%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $82 | $81 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 5¢ | $352 | $37 | −$315 (-90%) |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 28 | $700 | $0 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | May 26 | $695 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 06 | $712 | −$8 | -1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | Apr 30 | $707 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | Apr 12 | $703 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Apr 03 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Apr 03 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 03 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Mar 31 | $398 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | Mar 28 | $596 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Mar 20 | $606 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Mar 19 | $610 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 14 | $609 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Mar 03 | $604 | $0 | +0% |
| Rockets vs. Heat | Mar 01 | $84 | +$116 | +138% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 15 | $434 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 03 | $2,355 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Jan 03 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 03 | $549 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | Jan 03 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 28 | $649 | $0 | +0% |