Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:51:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FE 0xfed1…eedb sports 241 markets active 2d ago coverage 55d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$57,680 (-31%) realized −$57,680 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate36%87W / 154L
Whale WR34%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$770per market
Trades / day15.0pace
Fees−$2,761est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days−$12,765
14 days−$14,893
30 days−$37,632
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 98% −$61,128
other 1% +$2,207
crypto 0% +$1
world 0% −$5
finance 0% −$2
tech 0% +$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +15.6% +4.6% 47% 47% -58.1%
≤30d 142 -18.7% -26.5% 36% 35% -42.1%
≤90d 241 -11.4% -19.8% 36% 34% -38.6%
all 241 -11.4% -19.8% 36% 34% -38.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 34% -38.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 34% -44.4%
15% -34.5% 33% -49.8%
20% -40.9% 30% -54.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -32% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -32% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 34% (≥$862) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -1% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$648 vs −$764 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$57,680
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses87 / 154
Whale WR (big bets)34%
Est. fees paid−$2,761
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage55d
Avg bet$770
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 241 Trades
no open positions (122 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $46 +$54 +119%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $4,080 −$80 -2%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $50 +$50 +101%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $51 +$49 +97%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $396 +$594 +150%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $1,371 −$1,371 -100%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $4,924 −$4,848 -98%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $51 +$49 +97%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,003 −$263 -26%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Jun 14 $1,763 −$1,760 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $6 +$4 +73%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,032 −$1,021 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $509 −$502 -99%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $6,540 −$6,448 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,101 +$1,899 +172%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $962 +$828 +86%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $83 −$2 -2%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $676 −$176 -26%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $57 −$56 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $172 −$167 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $153 −$149 -97%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $527 −$520 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,629 +$2,371 +146%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $35 −$34 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $4,405 −$4,337 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $290 −$9 -3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5,145 +$5,420 +105%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 05 $2,582 −$2,540 -98%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 04 $3,835 −$3,769 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $1,826 +$1,840 +101%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) Jun 02 $3,387 −$3,339 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $2,745 +$3,255 +119%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $1,169 −$1,152 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 02 $955 −$934 -98%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) Jun 01 $1,033 −$1,013 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 01 $190 +$310 +163%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? May 31 $10 $0 +4%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 31 $1,351 +$947 +70%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) May 30 $80 +$83 +104%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winner May 30 $180 −$180 -100%
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Eu May 30 $517 −$146 -28%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 30 $1 +$1 +112%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) May 30 $1,629 +$1,838 +113%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) May 30 $72 −$71 -98%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 30 $126 −$4 -3%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 30 $785 −$770 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $2,561 +$435 +17%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5) May 29 $1,819 −$1,803 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $48 42h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $716 42h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 44¢ $1,076 46h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $2,240 46h
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 12¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 12¢ $1 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $2 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $4 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $3 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $1 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $1 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $6 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $7 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $1 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $3 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $20 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $12 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $3 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $3 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $10 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $1 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $5 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 959 history records