Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:54:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfecc…8477
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$3 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)3 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 5 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 97¢ 95¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 79¢ 78¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $24 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 44% −$2
sports 39% $0
other 17% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $13 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main BUY Sean OMalley 79¢ $10 36h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $21 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 46h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 91¢ $24 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-35.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -28.7% -35.5% 67% 0% -16.4%
≤30d 3 -28.7% -35.5% 67% 0% -16.4%
≤90d 3 -28.7% -35.5% 67% 0% -16.4%
all 3 -28.7% -35.5% 67% 0% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.5% 0% -16.4%
10% -41.7% 0% -24.4%
15% -47.3% 0% -31.7%
20% -52.5% 0% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.93 · official $46.11 (match) · 11 history records