Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:12:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfec4…b061
crypto · 118 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$62 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses40 / 74
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)114 / 118
History coverage42d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Vitality 58¢ 100¢ $20 $34 +$14 (+72%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 100¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 56¢ 36¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-37%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 23¢ 16¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$9 +93%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Jun 14 $5 −$2 -39%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -13%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $20 +$35 +172%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $3 −$1 -27%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $3 −$1 -28%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$91
world 18% −$2
sports 16% +$38
other 3% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 1m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 56¢ $10 33m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $2 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 58¢ $10 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 58¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 37¢ $15 5h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 51¢ $10 6h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 47¢ $9 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 9h
Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $3 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $78 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 9h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL No 33¢ $4 12h
Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 17h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY No 38¢ $5 18h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 65¢ $2 19h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 88¢ $3 19h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 69¢ $2 19h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 62¢ $2 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 60¢ $2 19h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 92¢ $3 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -11.9% -20.2% 30% 24% -5.7%
≤30d 67 -11.9% -20.2% 30% 24% -5.7%
≤90d 114 -16.3% -24.2% 35% 25% -23.0%
all 114 -16.3% -24.2% 35% 25% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.2% 25% -23.0%
10% -31.5% 20% -30.4%
15% -38.1% 17% -37.1%
20% -44.2% 16% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.38 · official $52.38 (match) · 483 history records