trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +44.2% | +30.5% | 50% | 50% | -23.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +33.9% | +21.1% | 91% | 27% | +25.0% |
| all | 15 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 87% | 20% | +23.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.2% | 20% | +23.5% |
| 10% | -3.1% | 20% | +11.7% |
| 15% | -12.4% | 20% | +0.9% |
| 20% | -21.0% | 20% | -9.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $448 | −$439 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $182 | +$343 | +188% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 17 | $167 | +$234 | +140% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | May 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 6? | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | May 16 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | May 16 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025? | May 16 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | May 16 | $190 | +$265 | +140% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Feb 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 03 | $11 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of January? | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | Jan 10 | $19 | $0 | +0% |