Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfebe…88e4
crypto · 1406 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses946 / 460
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1406 / 1406
History coverage83d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1406 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 420 -1.7% -11.1% 67% 62% -11.3%
≤30d 479 -6.2% -15.2% 60% 55% -11.3%
≤90d 1406 -1.5% -10.9% 67% 64% -8.7%
all 1406 -1.5% -10.9% 67% 64% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 64% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 47% -17.5%
15% -27.2% 27% -25.4%
20% -34.3% 6% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records