Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:02:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfeb3…a372
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$31 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses12 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage296d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$11
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $54 $0 +0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $9 $0 -2%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 12 $20 −$10 -50%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $11 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Jun 09 $24 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 09 $26 −$1 -4%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $76 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 06 $64 $0 +0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 05 $28 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 05 $89 −$1 -2%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $13 $0 -1%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 03 $68 +$1 +1%
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 202 Jan 30 $4 +$1 +25%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 30 $5 $0 +4%
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? Nov 26 $9 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? Nov 25 $24 $0 +0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? Nov 25 $13 $0 +0%
Buccaneers vs. Rams Nov 25 $49 −$20 -41%
Panthers vs. 49ers Nov 24 $12 $0 +0%
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24? Nov 21 $12 $0 +0%
Miami vs. Virginia Tech Nov 21 $12 $0 +0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Nov 21 $12 $0 +0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Nov 21 $12 $0 -0%
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? Nov 20 $1 $0 -0%
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22? Nov 19 $31 $0 +0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Nov 19 $5 $0 +5%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? Nov 19 $17 $0 +0%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22? Nov 18 $37 $0 -0%
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? Nov 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? Sep 21 $5 $0 -0%
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Sep 21 $5 $0 -9%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? Sep 11 $2 $0 -8%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Sep 10 $2 $0 +5%
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? Sep 10 $4 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Sep 09 $5 $0 +1%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? Sep 08 $7 −$1 -12%
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? Aug 28 $5 $0 +1%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? Aug 27 $2 $0 -1%
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Aug 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 22–August 29? Aug 27 $7 $0 -3%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Aug 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 25 $31 $0 +0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? Aug 24 $1 $0 +9%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 24 $2 $0 -2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? Aug 23 $31 $0 +0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 23 $31 $0 -0%
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Aug 22 $33 $0 -0%
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 22 $33 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 22 $33 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 40% −$10
other 29% −$2
politics 17% $0
sports 8% −$20
culture 4% +$1
crypto 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 63¢ $54 1h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 63¢ $54 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $9 4h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $9 7h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 5¢ $8 17h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 5¢ $2 17h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 10¢ $20 22h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 13¢ $0 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 13¢ $11 2d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL Yes 29¢ $24 4d
Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY Yes 29¢ $24 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 25¢ $25 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 26¢ $7 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 26¢ $16 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $16 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $14 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $30 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $65 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $64 6d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 7d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 7d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 45¢ $65 8d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -6.9% -15.8% 12% 0% -13.1%
≤30d 13 -4.4% -13.5% 15% 0% -11.8%
≤90d 13 -4.4% -13.5% 15% 0% -11.8%
all 53 -1.6% -11.0% 23% 2% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 2% -12.2%
10% -19.5% 2% -20.6%
15% -27.3% 0% -28.3%
20% -34.4% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 202 history records