Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T18:49:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
FE 0xfeab…9cd0 sports 382 markets active 1h ago coverage 84d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$373 (+0%) realized +$373 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate42%160W / 222L
Whale WR45%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$424per market
Trades / day9.4pace
Fees−$2,628est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 84d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$78
other 1% −$2,020
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +18.1% +6.8% 60% 60% +40.9%
≤30d 102 +8.3% -2.1% 40% 40% -11.4%
≤90d 382 +1.7% -8.0% 42% 42% -10.7%
all 382 +1.7% -8.0% 42% 42% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 42% -10.7%
10% -16.8% 41% -19.2%
15% -24.8% 41% -27.0%
20% -32.2% 40% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 45% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -3% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$492 vs −$364 · ×1.35 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

84d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$373
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses160 / 222
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$2,628
Open positions0
Markets (closed)382 / 382
History coverage84d
Avg bet$424
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 382 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp Jun 27 $528 −$528 -100%
ITF Zagreb: Kalin Ivanovski vs Bozo Barun Jun 27 $1,572 +$652 +42%
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva Jun 27 $420 +$960 +229%
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 27 $1,600 +$1,059 +66%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 27 $756 +$1,145 +152%
Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 26 $1,775 +$794 +45%
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchova Jun 26 $151 −$151 -100%
Plovdiv: Sandro Kopp vs Petr Nesterov Jun 26 $1,749 +$1,509 +86%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel Jun 26 $667 +$499 +75%
Targu Mures: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu Jun 26 $587 +$889 +152%
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Inaki Montes Jun 26 $1,000 +$580 +58%
ITF Tanger: Reda Bennani vs Sean Cuenin Jun 26 $803 +$404 +50%
ITF Palma Del Rio: Anna Kubareva vs Aliona Falei Jun 26 $450 −$450 -100%
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Andrej Nedic Jun 26 $1,050 +$754 +72%
ITF Claremont: Lorenzo Claverie vs Maxwell Exsted Jun 25 $452 +$615 +136%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko Jun 25 $224 −$224 -100%
ITF Brussels: Tim Handel vs Samuele Pieri Jun 25 $225 −$225 -100%
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson Jun 25 $240 −$240 -100%
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yaneva Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Nick Hardt Jun 25 $49 −$49 -100%
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Luca Van Assche Jun 19 $39 −$39 -100%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 14 $115 −$115 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $154 −$154 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 13 $399 −$399 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $224 +$312 +139%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $184 +$286 +156%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $194 −$194 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $52 +$143 +276%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 11 $68 −$68 -100%
Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 09 $373 −$373 -100%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $643 −$643 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $687 −$687 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $372 −$372 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 08 $222 −$222 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 08 $335 −$335 -100%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilagan Jun 08 $209 −$209 -100%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 08 $913 −$440 -48%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $242 −$242 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Storm Hunter Jun 07 $210 +$230 +110%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $500 −$500 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi Jun 07 $279 +$958 +343%
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 07 $1,211 −$496 -41%
Foggia: Lucia Bronzetti vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 07 $1,089 −$432 -40%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 07 $279 +$862 +310%
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan Jun 06 $215 +$206 +96%
Libema Open, Qualification: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizu Jun 06 $562 −$562 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Zagreb: Kalin Ivanovski vs Bozo Barun SELL Kalin Ivanovski 100¢ $2,223 49m
ITF Zagreb: Kalin Ivanovski vs Bozo Barun BUY Kalin Ivanovski 72¢ $18 1h
ITF Zagreb: Kalin Ivanovski vs Bozo Barun BUY Kalin Ivanovski 70¢ $1,554 1h
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 47¢ $528 1h
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva SELL Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $1,379 2h
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 30¢ $47 3h
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 30¢ $373 3h
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina SELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 100¢ $2,659 3h
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 57¢ $4 5h
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 58¢ $501 5h
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 60¢ $1,094 5h
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,901 16h
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY Yes 39¢ $756 18h
Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida SELL Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 100¢ $2,569 21h
Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 70¢ $4 23h
Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 69¢ $1,514 23h
Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 65¢ $257 23h
Plovdiv: Sandro Kopp vs Petr Nesterov SELL Sandro Kopp 100¢ $3,258 24h
Plovdiv: Sandro Kopp vs Petr Nesterov BUY Sandro Kopp 52¢ $4 26h
Plovdiv: Sandro Kopp vs Petr Nesterov BUY Sandro Kopp 53¢ $1,744 26h
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchova BUY Gabriela Ruse 22¢ $151 26h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel SELL Zizou Bergs 100¢ $1,166 26h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 54¢ $93 27h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 57¢ $387 27h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 56¢ $187 27h
Targu Mures: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu SELL Sumit Nagal 100¢ $1,475 27h
Targu Mures: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu BUY Sumit Nagal 39¢ $587 29h
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Inaki Montes SELL Inaki Montes 99¢ $1,580 29h
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Inaki Montes BUY Inaki Montes 62¢ $2 29h
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Inaki Montes BUY Inaki Montes 62¢ $998 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1043 history records