Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:12:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfea7…cd6d
sports · 23 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$38 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses14 / 9
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage6d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$102
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 59¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 81¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 37¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner Global Esports 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner FlyQuest 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Jun 12 $121 +$20 +17%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $40 +$8 +21%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League Jun 12 $60 +$11 +18%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $162 +$22 +13%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$9 +36%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $80 +$11 +14%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $98 +$10 +11%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $109 +$44 +40%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $91 −$15 -17%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $50 +$19 +38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 −$35 -34%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $94 −$26 -28%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $71 −$10 -14%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $22 −$22 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$9 -94%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $15 +$5 +34%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $16 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North SELL Shopify Rebellion 99¢ $141 34m
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North BUY Shopify Rebellion 87¢ $40 57m
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North BUY Shopify Rebellion 90¢ $40 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North BUY Shopify Rebellion 89¢ $20 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North BUY Shopify Rebellion 68¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $49 4h
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League SELL M80 100¢ $71 4h
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League BUY M80 87¢ $20 4h
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League BUY M80 85¢ $20 4h
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League BUY M80 81¢ $20 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 81¢ $20 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 82¢ $20 5h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $25 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 99¢ $157 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 12¢ $0 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 89¢ $25 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 84¢ $25 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 13¢ $9 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 21¢ $15 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 83¢ $15 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 33¢ $18 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 64¢ $6 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 54¢ $15 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 50¢ $15 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 50¢ $14 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $15 7h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 64¢ $15 7h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 80¢ $20 7h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $34 7h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Vitality 69¢ $15 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -18.9% -26.6% 61% 52% -0.3%
≤30d 23 -18.9% -26.6% 61% 52% -0.3%
≤90d 23 -18.9% -26.6% 61% 52% -0.3%
all 23 -18.9% -26.6% 61% 52% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.6% 52% -0.3%
10% -33.6% 26% -9.8%
15% -40.1% 17% -18.5%
20% -45.9% 4% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 114 history records