Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:48:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe9b…be38
crypto · 1633 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$613 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$613 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$613
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses772 / 708
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1480 / 1633
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day307.3
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1480 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$330
7 days+$367
14 days+$613
30 days+$613
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +401%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -271%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -624%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +1102%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,039
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1252 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 44% -3.2%
≤30d 1480 +9.7% -0.7% 52% 46% -0.5%
≤90d 1480 +9.7% -0.7% 52% 46% -0.5%
all 1480 +9.7% -0.7% 52% 46% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover307.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 46% -0.5%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 41% -10.0%
15% -18.9% 37% -18.7%
20% -26.8% 30% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records