Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe8e…5292
crypto · 81 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses45 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 81
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day61.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $12 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $14 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $14 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $11 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -10.4% -18.9% 56% 42% -11.4%
≤30d 81 -10.4% -18.9% 56% 42% -11.4%
≤90d 81 -10.4% -18.9% 56% 42% -11.4%
all 81 -10.4% -18.9% 56% 42% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 42% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 31% -19.9%
15% -33.8% 19% -27.7%
20% -40.3% 10% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 212 history records