Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:57:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe8c…e6be
crypto · 2098 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$640 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$639 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$639
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1082 / 503
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1585 / 2098
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day185.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 1585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,940
7 days−$3,111
14 days−$639
30 days−$639
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 53¢ 40¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+96%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+89%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$3,493
other 2% +$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)+15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 781 -7.8% -16.6% 49% 49% -57.8%
≤30d 1585 +27.1% +15.0% 68% 68% -15.1%
≤90d 1585 +27.1% +15.0% 68% 68% -15.1%
all 1585 +27.1% +15.0% 68% 68% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover185.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.0% 68% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here +4.0% 68% -23.2%
15% -6.1% 68% -30.6%
20% -15.3% 68% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.98 · official $16.59 · 3500 history records