Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe83…2863
crypto · 955 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$415 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$415 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$415
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses687 / 298
Open positions1
Markets (closed)985 / 955
History coverage38d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day78.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 985 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$260
7 days−$280
14 days−$320
30 days−$348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 93¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -12.4% -20.8% 63% 40% -23.6%
≤30d 713 -8.3% -17.0% 65% 39% -17.7%
≤90d 985 -7.7% -16.5% 70% 32% -17.3%
all 985 -7.7% -16.5% 70% 32% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 32% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 15% -25.2%
15% -31.7% 7% -32.4%
20% -38.4% 3% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.02 · official $0.82 (match) · 3500 history records