trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -59.1% | -63.0% | 0% | 0% | -63.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 12% | 12% | -57.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 20% | 20% | -56.7% |
| all | 13 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 31% | 31% | -32.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 31% | -32.5% |
| 10% | -22.1% | 31% | -38.9% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 31% | -44.8% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 23% | -50.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 85¢ | 84¢ | $170 | $169 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $154 | $153 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 78¢ | 78¢ | $78 | $78 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $135 | −$91 | -68% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $200 | −$100 | -50% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $225 | −$201 | -89% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $124 | −$65 | -53% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $303 | −$221 | -73% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $222 | −$48 | -21% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $27 | +$73 | +276% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $40 | −$17 | -43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | May 30 | $6 | +$3 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5 | Mar 09 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5 | Mar 04 | $341 | +$400 | +117% |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 | Feb 26 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |