trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 22% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 23% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 23% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 28 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 43% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $42 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $77 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 08 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 05 | $75 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Solana reach $250 in May? | Jun 03 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | May 17 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Apr 04 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Apr 01 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 01 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Ripple above $2.70 on February 28? | Mar 20 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Red Bull Racing record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing? | Feb 27 | $14 | $0 | +0% |