Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe53…df5c
crypto · 547 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$165 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses403 / 144
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)547 / 547
History coverage158d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 547 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026) Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$5 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +2%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$25 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$13 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$128
other 7% −$8
world 1% −$50
politics 0% −$4
sports 0% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 342 -0.2% -9.7% 86% 14% -9.9%
≤30d 342 -0.2% -9.7% 86% 14% -9.9%
≤90d 371 -4.6% -13.7% 81% 13% -14.9%
all 547 -9.1% -17.7% 74% 21% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.7% 21% -11.9%
10% -25.6% 7% -20.3%
15% -32.8% 5% -28.0%
20% -39.4% 4% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.40 · official $0.00 (match) · 1333 history records