Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe44…1eb9
crypto · 1719 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13,364 +51%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,363 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$13,363
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1853 / 336
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2189 / 1719
History coverage8d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day213.9
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,537
7 days+$13,455
14 days+$13,364
30 days+$13,364
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$8 -7648%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$64 +22615%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$15 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$169 +49176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$61 +35058%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$198 +69789%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$65 +12227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$18 +1355%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$68 -286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$21 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$188 +130725%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$70 +6180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -36%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$8 -7101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$15 +267%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$369 +108478%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$18 -8867%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$109 +33680%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$7 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$7 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$81 +15042%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$70 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$81 +14946%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$12 -10297%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$93 +158360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$177 +25922%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -5005%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$149 +56143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$169 +38781%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$132 +13462%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$115 +391331%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$14 -10403%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$230
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)+134.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1847 +189.2% +161.7% 83% 12% -6.1%
≤30d 2189 +159.3% +134.6% 85% 10% -6.9%
≤90d 2189 +159.3% +134.6% 85% 10% -6.9%
all 2189 +159.3% +134.6% 85% 10% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover213.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +134.6% 10% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here +112.2% 10% -15.8%
15% +91.7% 10% -24.0%
20% +72.9% 10% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.06 · official $12.06 (match) · 3500 history records