Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:23:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe3c…1a4c
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open +$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$137
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$15
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses10 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions9
Markets (closed)23 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 9 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $15 $33 +$18 (+117%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 68¢ 68¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Australia 70¢ 69¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 36¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 44¢ 42¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$36 +341%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$15 +100%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$22
sports 19% −$1
other 18% +$7
finance 5% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +2.1% -7.6% 43% 43% -19.1%
≤30d 23 +2.1% -7.6% 43% 43% -19.1%
≤90d 23 +2.1% -7.6% 43% 43% -19.1%
all 23 +2.1% -7.6% 43% 43% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 43% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 35% -26.8%
15% -24.5% 35% -33.9%
20% -31.9% 30% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $136.91 · official $136.92 (match) · 89 history records