Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:48:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FE 0xfe28…c416 crypto 1366 markets active 6d ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$22 (+1%) realized +$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR69%break-even
Win rate84%1149W / 217L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day25.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$1
14 days+$0
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -2.7% -12.0% 81% 81% -10.6%
≤30d 1061 -0.4% -9.9% 83% 82% -9.8%
≤90d 1366 -0.5% -10.0% 84% 69% -9.7%
all 1366 -0.5% -10.0% 84% 69% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 69% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 7% -18.4%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1149 / 217
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1366 / 1366
History coverage56d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1366 Trades
no open positions (217 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2554 history records