Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe27…f562
crypto · 890 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,015 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,016 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$1,016
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses419 / 470
Open positions1
Markets (closed)889 / 890
History coverage43d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day38.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 889 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$455
7 days−$455
14 days−$455
30 days−$1,240
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 74¢ 83¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$20 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$10 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $94 −$80 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $186 −$88 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$10 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -49%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $115 −$70 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$20 -39%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$20 -39%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$15 +49%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$110 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$9 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$11 +36%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$60 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $309 −$213 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$80 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $247 −$14 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$90 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $186 +$151 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $363 +$84 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $342 +$240 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$48 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $183 +$54 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$44 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$984
other 1% −$31
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $14 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $22 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -25.8% -32.9% 51% 46% -20.1%
≤30d 532 -17.0% -24.9% 45% 41% -21.8%
≤90d 889 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 43% -16.5%
all 889 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 43% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 43% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 40% -24.5%
15% -31.8% 37% -31.8%
20% -38.5% 26% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.22 · official $11.22 (match) · 2035 history records