Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:34:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe14…d463
other · 14 markets active 1h ago
8.5score
+$210 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$238 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$570
Realized+$238
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)11 / 14
History coverage91d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 3 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$146
7 days+$55
14 days+$255
30 days+$255
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $370 $374 +$4 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $136 $123 −$13 (-9%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $92 $73 −$19 (-21%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $208 $0 −$208 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Suns vs. Raptors Suns 47¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $102 +$264 +259%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $213 −$208 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $498 −$285 -57%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $46 +$230 +503%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 −$99 -97%
Exact Score: Albania 0 - 1 Luxembourg? Jun 06 $31 +$111 +362%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $70 +$91 +130%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $91 +$117 +129%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $98 +$83 +84%
Suns vs. Raptors Mar 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% −$63
sports 11% +$183
crypto 4% +$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $94 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $139 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $376 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 99¢ $367 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 27¢ $102 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 21¢ $213 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $213 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $497 4h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 99¢ $276 25h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 16¢ $46 27h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $51 27h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $101 27h
Exact Score: Albania 0 - 1 Luxembourg? SELL Yes 99¢ $141 6d
Exact Score: Albania 0 - 1 Luxembourg? BUY Yes 21¢ $31 6d
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 99¢ $161 6d
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 42¢ $70 6d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 43¢ $91 13d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 99¢ $181 13d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 53¢ $98 13d
Suns vs. Raptors BUY Suns 47¢ $17 90d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+73.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +112.0% +91.8% 50% 50% -5.0%
≤30d 10 +110.9% +90.8% 60% 60% +8.3%
≤90d 10 +110.9% +90.8% 60% 60% +8.3%
all 11 +91.7% +73.5% 55% 55% +6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +73.5% 55% +6.9%
10% +56.9% 55% -3.3%
15% +41.7% 55% -12.7%
20% +27.8% 55% -21.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $570.04 · official $570.04 (match) · 22 history records