Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:59:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
FE 0xfe10…f7ef crypto 279 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (148 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$16 (-0%) realized −$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate69%192W / 87L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day148.3pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$72
sports 7% −$31
finance 1% −$7
tech 0% +$6
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (148 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -5.5% -14.5% 69% 49% -11.2%
≤30d 279 -5.5% -14.5% 69% 49% -11.2%
≤90d 279 -5.5% -14.5% 69% 49% -11.2%
all 279 -5.5% -14.5% 69% 49% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover148.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 49% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 24% -19.7%
15% -30.2% 10% -27.4%
20% -37.0% 6% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$10 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses192 / 87
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)279 / 279
History coverage4d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day148.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 279 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$17 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$1 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$19 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 743 history records