Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:48:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfdf2…df00
crypto · 687 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,540 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,540 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,540
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses292 / 517
Open positions0
Markets (closed)809 / 687
History coverage4d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day792.1
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 809 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,040
7 days+$1,540
14 days+$1,540
30 days+$1,540
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,536
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-33.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 809 -26.6% -33.6% 36% 34% +1.8%
≤30d 809 -26.6% -33.6% 36% 34% +1.8%
≤90d 809 -26.6% -33.6% 36% 34% +1.8%
all 809 -26.6% -33.6% 36% 34% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover792.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.6% 34% +1.8%
10% ← realistic here -40.0% 33% -8.0%
15% -45.8% 30% -16.8%
20% -51.1% 25% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records