trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 20% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -11.5% | -19.9% | 33% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 27 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 52% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.1% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -20.5% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.2% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $46 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 25 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 24 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 23 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 23 | $65 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025? | Mar 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Mar 31 | $34 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Jun 27 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | Jun 24 | $40 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 20 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | May 14 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | May 11 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April? | May 11 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 10 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 10 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | May 09 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | May 09 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 09 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | May 09 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 08 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | May 08 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 08 | $10 | $0 | +2% |