trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 50% | 50% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 69% | 31% | -27.0% |
| all | 21 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 71% | 24% | -25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 24% | -25.9% |
| 10% | -29.9% | 14% | -33.0% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 14% | -39.5% |
| 20% | -42.9% | 14% | -45.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $207 | $206 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 10 | $100 | +$134 | +134% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees | Jun 04 | $64 | +$38 | +60% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 26 | $49 | −$49 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 20 | $139 | −$138 | -99% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 15 | $69 | −$68 | -99% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31? | May 15 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 15 | $16 | +$1 | +7% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 15 | $26 | +$15 | +57% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | May 15 | $66 | +$12 | +18% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 06 | $55 | −$54 | -98% |
| BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton | Apr 17 | $26 | −$26 | -99% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 23 | $9 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting? | Mar 23 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in Febru | Mar 23 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 23 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Feb 04 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Feb 04 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? | Feb 04 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025? | Jan 10 | $5 | $0 | +0% |