Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfde2…13a1
sports · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$63 -56%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$63
14 days−$63
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 49¢ 48¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 43¢ 42¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 39¢ 40¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ 32¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 49¢ $15 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ $7 8h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $14 9h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 39¢ $14 10h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 40¢ $15 28h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $25 29h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 41¢ $23 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.98 · official $48.98 (match) · 9 history records