Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:04:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfdd9…8ee2
crypto · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$94 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses62 / 46
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)108 / 109
History coverage72d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$96
14 days−$96
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs ONIC 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -62%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $10 +$37 +383%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$1 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $35 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$17 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$18 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$17 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 13 $51 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$38 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$13 +57%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $18 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$11 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $17 +$28 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 21 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET May 21 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 21 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 20 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 20 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 20 $3 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$137
sports 13% −$3
other 2% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 17¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 23m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 47¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 99¢ $47 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 20¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $8 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $48 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -4.8% -13.8% 52% 43% -20.1%
≤30d 86 -0.3% -9.8% 60% 49% -16.7%
≤90d 108 +2.2% -7.5% 57% 47% -16.7%
all 108 +2.2% -7.5% 57% 47% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 47% -16.7%
10% -16.3% 36% -24.7%
15% -24.4% 29% -32.0%
20% -31.8% 19% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.56 · official $4.56 (match) · 370 history records