Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfdbb…68d2
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$854 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$857 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$857
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses56 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage1d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day206.0
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$857
7 days+$857
14 days+$857
30 days+$857
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$20 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$18 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$20 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$46 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $97 +$28 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$15 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$17 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$14 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$12 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$18 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$15 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$18 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $145 +$43 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$34 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $152 +$51 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $450 +$158 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$27 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$34 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$20 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$68 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$35 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$35 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$18 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$857
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $45 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $47 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $48 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $48 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $46 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $50 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $38 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $12 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $50 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $49 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $47 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $25 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $49 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +84%
net ROI/market (all)+2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +13.1% +2.3% 84% 84% +7.5%
≤30d 67 +13.1% +2.3% 84% 84% +7.5%
≤90d 67 +13.1% +2.3% 84% 84% +7.5%
all 67 +13.1% +2.3% 84% 84% +7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover206.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.3% 84% +7.5%
10% ← realistic here -7.5% 84% -2.8%
15% -16.4% 16% -12.2%
20% -24.6% 1% -20.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 279 history records