trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +90.0% | +71.9% | 100% | 100% | +71.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 58% | 25% | -19.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -23.8% | -31.0% | 53% | 27% | -18.6% |
| all | 15 | -23.8% | -31.0% | 53% | 27% | -18.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -31.0% | 27% | -18.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -37.6% | 20% | -26.4% |
| 15% | -43.7% | 13% | -33.5% |
| 20% | -49.2% | 13% | -40.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 44¢ | $13,130 | $12,006 | −$1,124 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 25 | $8,000 | +$7,200 | +90% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 20 | $7,600 | +$450 | +6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 14 | $10,700 | −$7,792 | -73% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 14 | $3,626 | +$98 | +3% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 14 | $843 | +$168 | +20% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $5,170 | −$2,640 | -51% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $3,400 | −$3,400 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 07 | $837 | +$11 | +1% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang | Jun 03 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $370 | +$92 | +25% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Jun 01 | $10,000 | +$567 | +6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $171 | +$199 | +116% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | May 24 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |