trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 100% | 0% | -6.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 50% | 25% | +1.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -23.5% | -30.8% | 46% | 31% | -2.1% |
| all | 17 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 41% | 29% | -7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.4% | 29% | -7.1% |
| 10% | -44.3% | 29% | -16.0% |
| 15% | -49.7% | 24% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -54.6% | 12% | -31.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $700 | $703 | +$3 (+0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $294 | $291 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 46¢ | 16¢ | $500 | $169 | −$332 (-66%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 19¢ | 59¢ | $31 | $95 | +$64 (+206%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $101 | $92 | −$9 (-9%) |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 5¢ | 15¢ | $28 | $86 | +$58 (+210%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $96 | $80 | −$16 (-16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $257 | +$9 | +4% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $329 | +$9 | +3% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$15 | -75% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $309 | +$74 | +24% |
| Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$5 | -88% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$3 | -54% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $77 | −$19 | -25% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $200 | +$90 | +45% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 22 | $35 | −$20 | -57% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 15 | $30 | +$15 | +52% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 10 | $100 | +$43 | +43% |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Apr 08 | $100 | −$53 | -53% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 17 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 17 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |