Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T13:44:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FD 0xfdaa…58ad crypto 1352 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d only
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$307 (+3%) realized +$307 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate48%702W / 775L
Drawdown67%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day98.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$99
7 days+$45
14 days+$103
30 days+$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$157
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 257 -44.2% -49.5% 39% 33% -8.0%
≤30d 1477 -15.3% -23.3% 48% 37% -9.0%
≤90d 1477 -15.3% -23.3% 48% 37% -9.0%
all 1477 -15.3% -23.3% 48% 37% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover98.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 37% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 2% -17.7%
15% -37.4% 1% -25.7%
20% -43.5% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.8 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$307
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses702 / 775
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1477 / 1352
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day98.1
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1477 Trades
no open positions (253 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$1 -150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $15 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $21 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records