Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T03:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FD 0xfd8e…119d other 16 markets active 1d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$921 (-58%) realized −$921 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$99per market
Trades / day31.0pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit38%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 66% $0
other 30% −$2
crypto 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$2 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$921
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? Jun 28 $12 −$2 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? BUY Yes 4¢ $6 27h
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY No 81¢ $8 27h
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY No 81¢ $7 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 27h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 78¢ $77 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $22 27h
DR Congo leading at halftime? BUY Yes 6¢ $9 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 27h
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $615 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $3 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $14 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $8 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal? BUY Yes 12¢ $4 27h
BNB Up or Down on June 28? BUY Up 20¢ $21 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal? BUY Yes 12¢ $12 27h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 68¢ $101 27h
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5) BUY Uzbekistan 10¢ $1 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 27h
Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 3 Uzbekistan? BUY No 98¢ $280 27h
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 3 Uzbekistan? BUY No 99¢ $97 27h
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal? BUY Yes 6¢ $13 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 31 history records