trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1? | Yes | 51¢ | 46¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 31 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? | May 21 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 27 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 25 | $398 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Feb 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 19, 9AM ET | Feb 20 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Feb 15 | $817 | +$4 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | Feb 15 | $939 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 15 | $974 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February? | Feb 15 | $952 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 15 | $972 | −$1 | -0% |